tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post1821856344524287814..comments2024-01-11T05:07:59.607-05:00Comments on Housing Perspectives (from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies): Projection: US Will Add 25 Million Households by 2035Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studieshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07404938012740019524noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post-25206547804821438872017-01-26T17:25:07.113-05:002017-01-26T17:25:07.113-05:00As you know, the CPS/ASEC estimates with respect t...As you know, the CPS/ASEC estimates with respect to age of householder and tenure were vastly different from Decennial Census results. The differences for young adults were astounding large.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post-48895818360289291162017-01-17T19:40:35.207-05:002017-01-17T19:40:35.207-05:00Obviously, the decennial Census household numbers ...Obviously, the decennial Census household numbers are the best place to start for 2010. Y'all have a lot of work to do.<br />Tom Lawler, LEHC<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post-80129722181247670342017-01-13T15:47:24.854-05:002017-01-13T15:47:24.854-05:00I, of course, read that assessment, but that asses...I, of course, read that assessment, but that assessment ignored (1) huge differences between the CPS/ASEC and the decennial Census with regards to households by age; and (2) huge differences between he CPS/ASEC in terms of housing tenure both in aggregate and by age (the latter of which is astonishingly large). In fact, a close look at the CPS/ASEC vs. the decennial Census strongly suggests that the CPS/ASEC is a very poor indicator either of young adult household totals or (even more so) young adult homeowner totals. I'd be more than happy to share the data showing the issues with the CPS/ASEC, though I'm sure you have them already.<br />Tom Lawler, LEHCAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post-62208542889198515132017-01-12T12:03:39.119-05:002017-01-12T12:03:39.119-05:00As noted in the methodology section of the full pa...As noted in the methodology section of the full paper, historical household estimates for years 1994-2015 are based on the Census Bureau’s annual CPS/ASEC surveys. <br /><br />As for why the estimate differs from the decennial Census estimate in 2010, the JCHS published a paper in 2015 that provides an assessment of the differences in household counts in the major Census Bureau surveys and explains why we think the use of the CPS in our household projection methodology is appropriate. That paper can be found at the following link: <br /><br />http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/research/publications/assessing-households-and-household-growth-estimates-census-bureau-surveys<br />Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studieshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07404938012740019524noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4520343519564700704.post-36745872556680534702017-01-10T11:07:58.801-05:002017-01-10T11:07:58.801-05:00In looking at your household estimates by age grou...In looking at your household estimates by age group (from the spreadsheet), I was struck by the differences between your 2010 estimates and those from decennial census 2010. as shown below. Census 2010 JCHS 2010 (thousands)<br />15-24 5401 6754<br />25-34 17957 18771<br />35-44 21291 21980<br />45-54 24908 24825<br />55-64 21340 21178<br />65-74 13505 13517<br />75+ 12315 11861<br />Any feel for why your household estimates for young adults aren't even close to what the decennial Census showed?<br />Tom Lawler, LEHC<br /> Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com